Thursday, 16 July 2026
Data Speaks, Goals Follow
“We publish the call before kickoff, and we publish the miss just as loudly.”
62% hit rate across 156 logged predictions
TODAY'S MATCH
No prediction-worthy match in the next 24h. See all upcoming
matches →IN THIS EDITION
Every dataset Goalence publishes, indexed in one place.
World Cup 2026 Forecast
Top contenders after the latest round, from our Monte Carlo model.
Updated: 2026-06-04
DISCOVER
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Premier League
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La Liga
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Bundesliga
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Serie A
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Turkish Super League
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Ligue 1
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World Cup
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UEFA Champions League
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GOALENCE EDITOR
⚖️
The Anatomy of a Draw: The 0-0 Paradox and What the Data Reveals
We analyzed 1,754 matches across Europe's top 5 leagues. 0-0s aren't "low-shot" games — they're "low-quality-shot" games. And what decides a draw isn't possession, it's xG parity.
3 min · Read
🧤
Vózinha: The 40-Year-Old Who Stopped Spain and Became a Folk Hero
On his World Cup debut, a journeyman goalkeeper held a tournament favorite scoreless — and woke up famous.
4 min · Read
🇹🇷
Türkiye at the 2026 World Cup: The Road After a Tough Opener
A 2-0 loss to Australia leaves Türkiye needing results — but the group is still open
4 min · Read
Goalence pulls data from 30+ competitions, runs it through a Pi-Ratings + Poisson model, and logs every prediction before kickoff. Past accuracy: 62% correct on 156 resolved matches.
© 2026 Goalence. Predictions are produced by statistical models and not guaranteed.
62% · n=156