“We publish the call before kickoff, and we publish the miss just as loudly.”

53% hit rate across 1365 logged predictions

TODAY'S MATCH

18:45 UTC · Mon · 🇮🇹 Serie A

Inter

Udinese

“Inter comes back from behind 100% of the time.”
— Goalence editor

Inter 72%Draw 17%Udinese 12%

Likely scores

2-19%

2-08%

1-18%

Lead conversion · Inter100%

Late-goal rate · Inter25%

Full analysis →

IN THIS EDITION

Every dataset Goalence publishes, indexed in one place.

01Prediction Accuracy53% hit rate · 1365 logged 02Drama Metrics677 teams tracked 03Player Team Impact31 competitions covered 04Head-to-Head Rivalries98 rivalries 05World Cup 2026 Forecast48 teams · updated every round 06Knockout Scenarios0 World Cup fixtures ahead

TODAY'S OTHER MATCHES

All matches →

🇺🇦 Ukrainian Premier League

Dynamo Kyiv

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Dynamo Kyiv62%

→ Analysis

🇺🇦 Ukrainian Premier League

Shakhtar Donetsk

Chornomorets

Shakhtar Donetsk80%

“Shakhtar Donetsk comes back from behind 50% of the time.”

→ Analysis

🇮🇹 Serie A

Torino

AS Roma

AS Roma60%

“AS Roma comes back from behind 100% of the time.”

→ Analysis

THIS WEEK'S STORYLINES

Explore →

What the data says

AustraliaAustralia comes back from behind 80% of the time.80%EnglandEngland wins 91% of second-half minutes.91%IraqIraq scores 43% of its goals after the 75th.43%

05🏆 World Cup 2026

World Cup 2026 Forecast

Top contenders after the latest round, from our Monte Carlo model.

Updated: 2026-06-04

1🇪🇸 Spain54.0%

2🇦🇷 Argentina46.0%

Full forecast, all 48 teams →

DISCOVER

🏴

Premier League

11 matches this weekend

→ Explore

🇪🇸

La Liga

14 matches this weekend

→ Explore

🇩🇪

Bundesliga

9 matches this weekend

→ Explore

🇮🇹

Serie A

13 matches this weekend

→ Explore

🇹🇷

Turkish Super League

10 matches this weekend

→ Explore

🇫🇷

Ligue 1

8 matches this weekend

→ Explore

🌍

World Cup

—

→ Explore

🏆

UEFA Champions League

—

→ Explore

🏆 UEFA Nations League 🏆 World Cup Qualification — Europe 🏆 World Cup Qualification — South America 🏆 World Cup Qualification — CONCACAF 🏆 World Cup Qualification — Asia 🏆 World Cup Qualification — Africa 🏆 World Cup Qualification — Oceania 🏆 World Cup Qualification — Playoffs 🇪🇺 UEFA European Championship 🏆 Copa America 🏆 Africa Cup of Nations 🏆 AFC Asian Cup 🇵🇹 Portuguese Primeira Liga 🇳🇱 Dutch Eredivisie 🏴 Scottish Premiership 🇨🇭 Swiss Super League 🇦🇹 Austrian Bundesliga 🇬🇷 Greek Super League 🇺🇦 Ukrainian Premier League 🇷🇺 Russian Premier League 🇹🇷 Turkish 1st League 🏆 UEFA Europa League 🏆 UEFA Conference League

GOALENCE EDITOR

All stories →

Lead story

⚖️

The Anatomy of a Draw: The 0-0 Paradox and What the Data Reveals

We analyzed 1,754 matches across Europe's top 5 leagues. 0-0s aren't "low-shot" games — they're "low-quality-shot" games. And what decides a draw isn't possession, it's xG parity.

3 min · Read

Also this week

🧤

Vózinha: The 40-Year-Old Who Stopped Spain and Became a Folk Hero

On his World Cup debut, a journeyman goalkeeper held a tournament favorite scoreless — and woke up famous.

4 min · Read

Also this week

🇹🇷

Türkiye at the 2026 World Cup: The Road After a Tough Opener

A 2-0 loss to Australia leaves Türkiye needing results — but the group is still open

4 min · Read

HOW IT WORKS

Goalence pulls data from 30+ competitions, runs it through a Pi-Ratings + Poisson model, and logs every prediction before kickoff. Past accuracy: 53% correct on 1365 resolved matches.

Methodology About llms.txt Privacy @goalence

EXPLORE

Matches

Teams

Stats

Stories

53% · n=1365